Military and strategic expert, Nidal Abu Zaid, recently highlighted a significant report from Hebrew media suggesting that Yahya Sinwar, the head of Hamas's political bureau, was targeted in Gaza after losing contact with the movement's leadership.

During his appearance on Roya’s Nabd Al-Balad program, Abu Zaid noted a high level of intelligence operations and a shift in situation since the appointment of Shlomi Binder.

Abu Zaid urged that both Sinwar and the resistance must exercise caution, as the Israeli Occupation is poised to exploit any missteps.

Turning to Lebanon, Abu Zaid assessed that the pressures on the Israeli Occupation have intensified, particularly following the announcement of plans to relocate northern residents.

A state of emergency was declared, centralizing control under “Israeli” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who is concealing losses and managing media narratives through a gag order.

"We are entering a phase of escalation, where established rules of engagement are being broken,” Abu Zaid stated. “Hezbollah has advanced to Afula, 50 kilometers from the border, and I anticipate reaching a depth of 70 kilometers tonight. Meanwhile, the occupation has extended its operations to Beirut and Baalbek."

He asserted that the current circumstances do not indicate a return to conventional military engagements like the 2006 war, as evidenced by the rapid pace of “Israeli” air operations—650 sorties within 12 hours—signifying a rush to conclude military actions without the luxury of strategic options or favorable weather.

Abu Zaid explained, "If the occupation continues bombarding for 24 hours, it cannot maintain control on the ground. It lacks the capability to assert that it has achieved its goal of relocating northern residents."

He elaborated on the military landscape, comparing Hezbollah's 133rd intelligence unit, led by Khalil Khareef, with four “Israeli” military divisions in the northern region.

He noted that while the Israeli forces have some fresh units, they are hampered by previous losses in Gaza, requiring time to recover.

Abu Zaid expressed that while the situation could shift toward de-escalation, particularly amid US-Iran negotiations at the Uآ General Assembly, the broader regional context remains tense.

Political analyst Maher Abu Tair concurred, suggesting that while the situation has not escalated into a full-scale regional war, it reflects a low-intensity conflict.

He noted that the narrative surrounding the relocation of northern residents serves to bolster Netanyahu's domestic popularity but is an attempt to replicate Gaza's scenario in Lebanon, shifting focus from losses suffered in the ongoing conflict.

Abu Tair concluded that the entire region is heading toward increased strategic tensions, as the occupation faces multiple fronts.

Even if it manages to stabilize situations in Gaza and Lebanon, challenges in Iraq and Yemen remain, indicating that the underlying animosity will persist, albeit with possible cooling due to international interventions.